It seems more and more reasonable to think we head towards what we wished to avoid: a disrupt exit of the EU for the United Kingdom. The European Research Area will be particularly impacted regarding the current importance of British firms and universities inside the different European research program Horizon 2020 (H2020).
The European Commission already specifies in each project call fiche that the financing by British partners will be honoured until the end of the project only in the case an exit agreement is concluded with the United Kingdom. If the United Kingdom withdraws from the EU during the grant period without concluding an agreement with the EU ensuring in particular that British applicants continue to be eligible, British partners will cease to receive EU funding (while continuing, where possible, to participate) or be required to leave the project on the basis of Article 34.3.1(b) of the Grant Agreement.
Without having the pretention to predict an outcome as uncertain as the Brexit one, here are the options which remain:
In case of hard Brexit, the 29th March 2019: The United Kingdom will no longer have the possibility to continue to use the programs and activities of multiannual financial framework (set until 2020).
If they wish to continue to benefit from European projects, the United Kingdom will have to engage new negotiations in order to conclude an agreement of bilateral participation ad hoc as the one obtained by Switzerland. Indeed, the participation of Helvetic entities to H2020 projects (SME-I, ERC Grants, MCA excluded, no coordination) were directly financed by the Swiss Confederation following the EU sanctions because of the Helvetic referendum (which limited people free circulation). This partial association (excluding the role of coordinator, SME-I and ERC Grants type individual projects, Marie Curie Actions, and with no positive financial return) had nevertheless preserve an access to H2020 for Swiss projects in the expectation of a return to an unrestricted participation, which occurred on January 1, 2017.
The hypothesis of exit negotiations prolongation has been evoked and holds today the actuality with Theresa May’s last declarations on a prolongation demand of article 50. Nevertheless, Michel Barnier (The EU negotiator for Brexit) was firmly opposed to that solution, as were numerous member States which want the Brexit question to be solved on the 29th March 2019 to avoid that it turned into slow poison during the next years.
Despite the tense negotiations with Michel Barnier, Theresa May has obtained a deal with the EU. This deal remains a solid base which knows difficulties essentially concerning the Irish question and the backstop. Perhaps she will succeed to negotiate with the EU on news arrangements, the imminent perspective of a Hard Brexit may also lead some deputies to obtain a new majority to achieve a deal with the EU. The signature of this agreement would permit in all case to UK to participate to H2020 in unchanged conditions as associated State.
The economy realities should earlier or later take back the step on the political issues and permit to United Kingdom to join one way or another European projects. Nevertheless, before coming back to a full and complete participation, a lot of time will have been spent to the detriment of Science and European Research Area.
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